Ups and downs of leveraging

Ups and downs of leveraging

"...panic unwinding of margin trading positions led to the 1987 crash on Wall Street..."

"...excess leveraging has led to the creation of a bubble in the market...."

"...SEBI imposes higher volatility margins..."

What is leveraging? What is margin trading? How do these exaggerate market movements?

"Give me a place to stand on, and I can move the earth"? Archimedes, the great Greek philosopher, was confident of achieving this because he had realised the power of leverage--the action of a lever. A lever is a simple mechanical device that rests on a pivot and helps lift a heavy load with minimum effort.

What is the connection with finance?

Companies borrow capital (debt) to enhance return on equity. The expectation of companies is that they would be able to get more returns than their cost of debt and hence improve the return on equity.

How does leveraging work in the securities markets?

Just like companies, security market participants believe that if they can earn higher returns than their cost of borrowing, they will be able to boost their returns on capital. Hence, leveraging in the securities market refers to money borrowed to cover part of the cost of purchase of a security. In our context, security stands for stocks.

Did you say part of the cost?

Yes. Remember that companies start with equity capital for their business before borrowing to leverage that equity capital. Similarly, stock market participants have to bear part of the cost that covers their commitment. In stock market language, the upfront money that the participants pay is called “margin”. The balance is borrowed at a certain cost.

How does it help?

Let us take a simple example. Assume you figured out that XYZ would go up by 15% next week. You have Rs110,000 at your disposal. If the closing price of the stock is Rs11,000, you will be able to buy ten shares. In case the stock does move up by 15%, you will end up with stock worth Rs126,500 (Table 1: Case A). 

Now, imagine if somebody offered to finance your purchase on the condition that you pay up 20% of the value as margin and pay him a borrowing cost of 0.25% per week. Taking Rs110,000 as your 20% contribution, the lender would be ready to fund you to the tune of Rs440,000.

Then, you could actually take a position in the stock worth Rs550,000. In other words, you could buy 50 shares of XYZ. Now assume that the stock gained 15%. You sell your shares for Rs632,500. After you repay Rs440,000, the borrowed money, and the interest of Rs1,100, you are left with Rs191,400. Adjust it for the capital that you placed as margin money. Lo! Behold! You have a profit of Rs81,400 or a return of 74% in one week! Look at what leveraging can do for you. (Table 1: Case B).

	15% Price rise		15% Price fall
	Case A	Case B	Case A	Case B
Capital	110,000	110,000	110,000	110,000
Borrowing	0	440,000	0	440,000
XYZ
Purchase value	110,000	550,000	110,000	550,000
Realised value	126,500	632,500	93,500	467,500
Cost of borrowing	0	1,100	0	1,100
Profit	16,500	81,400	-16,500	-83,600
RoI (%)	15.0	74.0	-15.0	-76.0

What if the stock falls?

A good question indeed. Let us rework the profits in the event the price falls by 15% instead of going up 15% in the period under review. The 50 shares of XYZ will be worth Rs467,500. After repaying Rs441,100 to the lender, you would be left with Rs26,500. In other words, a loss of Rs83,500 or minus 76% in one week! It can almost wipe your entire capital. If you had not leveraged, you would have lost only 15%. (Table 1)

So, how does the lender protect himself?

The lender runs a big risk of the borrower defaulting. Hence, he normally increases the “margin” requirement to compensate for the decline in market prices in order to protect his capital.

A double-edged sword

Leveraging is a double-edged sword. You can expect phenomenal returns despite taking on a fixed cost if your instinct is right and the market plays itself out according to your expectations. But if it does not, the results could be catastrophic.

If margin trading is your scene, here are some good stocks you could bet on. Sharekhan’s Stock Ideas presents our best stock picks in the market today. The investment ideas come with a price target and a time frame over which gains can be materialised. Happy investing