Chart analysis (also called technical analysis) is the study of market action, using price charts, to forecast future price direction. The cornerstone of the technical philosophy is the belief that all of the factors that influence market price—fundamental information, political events, natural disasters, and psychological factors— are quickly discounted in market activity. In other words,the impact of these external factors will quickly show up in some form of price movement, either up or down. Chart analysis, therefore, is simply a short-cut form of fundamental analysis.
Consider the following:A rising price reflects bullish fundamentals, where demand exceeds supply; falling prices would mean that supply exceeds demand, identifying a bearish fundamental situation. These shifts in the fundamental equation cause price changes, which are readily apparent on a price chart. The chartist is quickly able to profit from these price changes without necessarily knowing the specific reasons causing them. The chartist simply reasons that rising prices are indicative of a bullish fundamental situation and that falling prices reflect bearish fundamentals.
Charts Reveal Price Trends
Types of Charts Available
- daily bar chart
- Candlestick charts
- Line charts
Charts Are Used Primarily to Monitor Trends
Two basic premises of chart analysis are that markets trend and that trends tend to persist. Trend analysis is really what chart analysis is all about.Trends are characterized by a series of peaks and troughs.An uptrend is a series of rising peaks and troughs. A downtrend shows descending peaks and troughs. Finally, trends are usually classified into three categories:major,secondary, and minor.A major trend lasts more than a year;
a secondary trend, from one to three months; and a minor trend, usually a couple of weeks or less.
Two basic premises of chart analysis are that markets trend and that trends tend to persist. Trend analysis is really what chart analysis is all about.Trends are characterized by a series of peaks and troughs.An uptrend is a series of rising peaks and troughs. A downtrend shows descending peaks and troughs. Finally, trends are usually classified into three categories:major,secondary, and minor.A major trend lasts more than a year;
a secondary trend, from one to three months; and a minor trend, usually a couple of weeks or less.
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